河南省先进制造业与现代服务业耦合协调度评价与动态演进
Evaluation of Coupling Coordination Degree and Dynamic Evolution Between Advanced Manufacturing and Modern Service Industries in Henan Province
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摘要: 基于耦合协调模型,选取2015—2020年省级及市级数据,采用熵值法赋权指标变量,测算河南省先进制造业与现代服务业耦合协调度,对两业发展水平进行综合评价,并使用核密度估计法从全省和区域视角分析河南两业融合发展的动态演化过程与区域差异。从全省层面看,河南已步入工业化后期,但两业融合度总体水平较低,尚处于“初级协调”阶段,发展速度缓慢;分区域看,河南中部和南部处于“中级协调”阶段,东部、西部和北部处于“初级协调”阶段,区域间差异明显,两级分化趋势虽逐年缩小但仍然存在。Abstract: Based on the coupling coordination model, this paper selects provincial and municipal data and then uses the entropy value method to assign indicator variables for a comprehensive evaluation of the development level of advanced manufacturing and modern service industries in Henan. This paper also measures the degree of coupling coordination of the two sectors and adopts the kernel density estimation method to analyze the dynamic evolutionary process and regional differences in the integration of the two sectors in Henan from a province-wide and regional perspective. From the overall level of the province, Henan has entered the late stage of industrialization, but the overall level of integration of the two industries is relatively low, still in the “primary coordination” stage and slow development. By region, the central and southern parts of Henan are in the “mid-level coordination” stage, while the eastern, western and northern parts are in the “primary coordination” stage. It is found that there are significant differences between regions, and despite the trend of bifurcation narrows year by year but still exists.